Budget rumours? Don't panic.

It is not long until Chancellor John Healey’s first budget on 28 October 2026 and you may be wondering if you need to take any action ahead of this.

Newspaper speculation ahead of previous budgets has been rife, with rumours that tax free cash entitlements will be reduced seeming to surface around this time every year. Some pension holders seem to have been taken in by this speculation in previous years; a recent Sky News article revealed £91.2bn was withdrawn from pensions accessed for the first time in 2025/26, up from £53.6bn in 2023/24. However, some people may be regretting their decision to take money out of their pension, given they may have moved funds from a tax free environment within their pension into a taxable environment outside it. 

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Pensions minister Torsten Bell clearly finds the speculation unhelpful, describing misleading stories as ‘disgraceful’ and ‘garbage’ in a recent Citywire article.

Even if there are no changes to tax free cash entitlements announced in the budget, we are getting closer to the implementation date for a big pension change that has already been announced; that defined contribution pensions will form part of estates for inheritance tax (IHT) purposes from April 2027. Pensions should be reviewed ahead of this, specifically:

• The nomination of beneficiaries for pensions - if a married couple are planning to leave their pension to their children rather than each other, this could become tax inefficient in April 2027.
• The interaction between pension nominations and wills - especially when these are not being left to the same beneficiary.  As inheritance tax will be proportioned between the pension and the estate, the net amounts each beneficiary receives may change overnight on 5 April 2027.
• Gifting to charities – again the best way to do this may change. Estates benefit from a reduced inheritance tax rate of 36% when over 10% of the taxable net estate is left to charity, but pension death benefits from April may be subject to IHT and income tax, so it could be the case that leaving part of the pension to charity rather than part of the rest of the estate may become the better option.

However, those aged under 75 who are married or in civil partnership should not panic, as upon their death they can leave their pension to their spouse/civil partner under the spousal exemption and their spouse/civil partner can in turn draw from the pension tax free. Longer term however, consideration could be given if appropriate, to drawing from the pension to create excess income that can be gifted away under the regular gifts out of surplus income IHT exemption as the individual approaches age 75, at which point the tax rules change.

In terms of changes that could be announced:

• Prime Minister Andy Burnham has signposted a new ‘Your First Home’ scheme to help first time buyers get on the housing ladder.
• There are rumours that capital gains tax (CGT) could be increased. The level and timing of the increase would be important if this does happen, as there are question marks over the increased revenue that is actually raised by increasing CGT, given individuals can choose to hold onto assets and not sell them if increases to CGT rates are significant. However, if a change is announced to take effect in April 2027, this gives individuals the chance to sell assets before the higher rate kicks in which could lead to an increase in activity.
• As has been the case in previous years, the chancellor has the option to freeze tax bandings further into the future.

To summarise, Torsten Bell’s comments indicate he is hoping not to see the same level of pre-budget speculation as previous years and investors have often seen sub-optimal outcomes after making decisions based on speculation alone. Therefore, we will need to wait until after the budget to decide if any action is required as a result of any newly announced changes, alongside already known: 

• Fiscal drag caused by frozen tax thresholds until 2031
• Upcoming increases to property income and savings tax rates in April 2027
• Cash ISA changes which will limit contributions from next year and mean that individuals looking to transfer their Stocks and Shares ISA into Cash ISAs must do so by April 2027
• Mansion tax due to take effect in April 2028
• Salary sacrifice National Insurance saving contribution limit of £2,000 to take effect from April 2029

If you would like to discuss the implications of the upcoming changes, please contact get in touch to see how we can help.

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This article is intended for general information only, it does not constitute individual advice and should not be used to inform financial decisions. 

The Financial Conduct Authority (FCA) does not regulate estate planning, wills or tax advice. 

A pension is a long-term investment not normally accessible until age 55 (57 from April 2028 unless the plan has a protected pension age). The value of your investments (and any income from them) can go down as well as up which would have an impact on the level of pension benefits available.  Your pension income could also be affected by the interest rates at the time you take your benefits.